February 19, 2007
Professor Paul Bloom: We began the course by talking about one of the
foundational ideas of modern psychology. This is what Francis Crick described as
"The Astonishing Hypothesis," the idea that our mental life, our consciousness,
our morality, our capacity to make decisions and judgments is the product of a
material physical brain. What I want to talk about today and introduce it, and
it's going to be a theme that we're going to continue throughout the rest of the
course, is a second idea which I think is equally shocking, perhaps more
shocking. And this has to do with where mental life comes from, not necessary
its material nature, but rather its origin. And the notion, this other "astonishing
hypothesis," is what the philosopher Daniel Dennett has described as Darwin's
dangerous idea. And this is the modern biological account of the origin of
biological phenomena including psychological phenomena.
Now, people have long been interested in the evolution of complicated things.
And there is an argument that's been repeated throughout history and many people
have found it deeply compelling, including Darwin himself. Darwin, as he wrote
The Origin of Species, was deeply persuaded and moved by this argument from--in
the form presented by the theologian William Paley. So, Paley has an example
here. Paley tells--gives the example of you're walking down the beach and your
foot hits a rock. And then you wonder, "Where did that rock come from?" And you
don't really expect an interesting answer to that question. Maybe it was always
there. Maybe it fell from the sky. Who cares? But suppose you found a watch on
the ground and then you asked where the watch had come from. Paley points out
that it would not be satisfying to simply say it's always been there or it came
there as an accident. And he uses this comparison to make a point, which is a
watch is a very complicated and interesting thing.
Paley is--was a medical doctor and Paley goes on to describe a watch and compare
a watch to the eye and noticing that a watch and the eye contain multitudes of
parts that interact in complicated ways to do interesting things. In fact, to
change and to update the analogy a little bit, an eye is very much like a
machine known as a camera. And they're similar at a deep way. They both have
lenses that bend light and project an image onto a light-sensitive surface. For
the eye the light-sensitive surface is the retina. For the camera it's the film.
They both have a focusing mechanism. For the eye it's muscles that change the
shape of the lens. For a camera it's a diaphragm that governs the amount of
incoming light. Even they're both encased in black. The light-sensitive part of
the eye and part of the camera are both encased in black. The difference is--So
in fact, the eye and a camera look a lot alike and we know the camera is an
artifact. The camera has been constructed by an intelligent--by intelligent
beings to fulfill a purpose.
In fact, if there's any difference between things like the eye and things like a
camera, the difference is that things like the eye are far more complicated than
things like the camera. When I was a kid I had this incredible TV show called "The
Six Million Dollar Man." Anybody here ever seen it or heard of it? Oh. Anyway,
the idea is there's a test pilot, Steve Austin, and his rocket jet crashes and
he loses his--both legs, his arm and his eye, which sounds really bad but they
replace them with bionic stuff, with artificial leg, artificial arm and an
artificial eye that are really super-powered. And then he fights crime. [laughter]
It was [laughs] really the best show on. It was really good, [laughter] but the
thing is this was in 1974. It's now over thirty years later and it's true then
and it's true now, this is fantasy. It doesn't make it to the level of science
fiction. It's fantasy. We are impossibly far away from developing machines that
could do this. We are impossibly far away from building a machine that can do
what the human eye does. And so somebody like Paley points out, "Look. The
complexity of the biological world suggests that these things are complicated
artifacts created by a designer far smarter than any human engineer. And the
designer, of course, would be God."
I went to Goggle Images. That--I don't mean that to be sacrilegious [laughter]
in any sense. You could try this. I went to "Google Images" and typed in "God"
and this [a picture of an old-bearded man wearing a crown] is what showed up
right in the middle so--And this, Paley argued, and it was--has been convincing
throughout most of history, is a perfectly logical explanation for where these
complicated things come from. It also has the advantage of being compatible with
scripture and compatible with religious beliefs, but Paley made the point this
stands on its own. If you find complicated things that--complicated artifacts,
you don't assume they emerged by accident. You assume that they were created by
an intelligent being.
Now, this view has always had problems. This view, you could call it "creationism,"
which is that biological structures were created by an intelligent being, has
always had problems. One problem is it pushes back the question. So you ask, "Where
did that intelligent being come from?" And this is a particularly serious
problem from the standpoint of the evolution of psychological structures. So, we
want to know, "how is it that creatures came across--upon this earth with the
ability to reason and plan and do things?" And then the answer is "well, another
creature with that ability created us." That doesn't necessarily mean it's wrong,
but it means it's unsatisfying. You immediately want to get an explanation for
where that other creature comes from.
More to the point, there's always been evidence for evolution. And what I mean
by evolution here isn't necessarily a specific mechanism, but merely the fact
that body parts like the eye didn't emerge all of a sudden, but rather have
parallels both within other existing animals and across human and biological
history. This evidence comes in different forms. There is fossil evidence for
different body parts suggesting that they have evolved from more rudimentary
form. There is vestigial characteristics. And what this means is there are
characteristics that human bodies have that are somewhat inexplicable, like the
human tailbone or goose-bumps, unless you view them--the human body in its
current form as modifications from a previous form.
There are parallels with other animals. And this is clear in psychology. So, a
human brain is different from the rat, cat, and monkey brain but at the same
time you see them following a sort of common plan and common structures. And one
rational inference from this is that they're linked through evolutionary descent.
Finally, there is occasional poor design. So, Paley rhapsodized about the
remarkable powers of the human body and the different body parts, but even Paley
admitted that there are some things which just don't work very well. Your eye
contains a blind spot because of how the nerves are wired up. In the male
urinary system the urethra goes through the prostate gland instead of around it,
which leads to many physical problems in men later on in life. And so you're
forced to either argue that these are really good things or that God is either
malicious or incompetent. And those are difficult arguments to make.
So, these are problems with the creationist view. But still, for the longest
time in human intellectual history there was no alternative. And in fact,
Richard Dawkins, the most prominent evolutionary--one of the most prominent
evolutionary biologists alive and one of the most staunchest critics of
creationism, has written in The Blind Watchmaker saying, look, anybody 100 years
ago or 150 years ago who didn't believe that God created humans and other
animals was a moron because the argument from design is a damn good argument.
And in the absence of some other argument you should go--defer to that. You
should say, "Well, there are all of these problems but humans and other
biological forms must have divine creation because of their incredible rich and
intricate structure." What changed all that of course was Darwin. And Darwin--Darwin's
profound accomplishment was showing how you get these complicated biological
structures, like the eye, emerging through a purely non-intentional, non-created
process, a purely physical process. And this could be seen as equal in
importance to the claim that the Earth revolves around the Sun and that we're
not the center of the universe. And in fact, some scholars have made a
suggestion which seems plausible, that the idea of natural selection is the most
important idea in the sciences, period.
So, this is not a course in evolution and I expect people to have some
background. If you don't have a background in it, you could get your background
from external readings but also from--the Gray textbook and the Norton readings
will both--will each provide you with enough background to get up to speed. But
the general idea is that there are three components to natural selection. There
is variation. And this variation gives rise to different degrees of survival and
reproduction and gets passed on from generation to generation and gives rise to
adaptations, what Darwin described as "that perfection of structure that justly
excites our imagination."
And the biological world has all sorts of examples. You look at camouflage.
Prior to Darwin one might imagine that some intelligent creator crafted animals
to hide from their prey. But now we have a different alternative, which is that
animals that were better hidden survive better, reproduce more, and over the
course of thousands, perhaps millions of years, they've developed elaborate
camouflage. There's been a lot of work on Paley's favorite example – the eye. So
Darwin himself noted that the human eye did not seem to emerge all at once but
rather you could look at other animals and find parallels in other animals that
seem to suggest that more rudimentary forms are possible. And more recently
computer simulations have developed--have been developed that have crafted eyes
under plausible assumptions of selective pressure and what the starting point
is.
So, this is the theory of natural selection. The good question to ask is, "why
am I talking about evolution in Introduction to Psychology class?" And the
answer is that there are two ideas which come together. And in fact, they're
both of the dangerous ideas. One idea is that Darwin's idea--that biological
forms evolve through this purely physical process. The second idea, the
rejection of Descartes, is that our minds are the product of physical things and
physical events. You bring these together and it forces you to the perspective
that what we are--our mental life is no less than the eye, no less than
camouflage, the product of this purely physical process of natural selection.
More to the point, our cognitive mechanisms were evolved not to please God, not
as random accidents, but rather for the purpose of survival and reproduction.
More contentiously, you could argue they've been shaped by natural selection to
solve certain problems. And so, from an evolutionary point of view, when you
look at what the brain is and what the brain does, you look at it in terms of
these problems. And this is what psychology is for. This is what our thinking is
for. We have evolved mental capacities to solve different problems: perception
of the world, communication, getting nutrition and rest, and so on.
Now, we're going to talk about how to apply evolutionary theory to psychology.
But as we're doing so we have to keep in mind two misconceptions. There are two
ways you can go seriously wrong here. The first is to think that, well, if we're
taking an evolutionary approach then natural selection will cause animals to
want to spread their genes. So, if we're being biological about it, that means
everybody must run around thinking "I want to spread my genes." I want to--and
this is just really --Oops. I shouldn't do that. This is really wrong. It's [the
text on the slides] even in red. And what this fails to do is make a distinction
between ultimate causation and proximate causation. And those are technical
terms referring to--Ultimate causation is the reason why something is there in
the first place, over millions of years of history. Proximate causation is why
you're doing it now. And these are different. Obviously, for instance, animals
do all sorts of things to help survive and reproduce but a cockroach doesn't
think "oh, I'm doing this to help survive and reproduce and spread my genes." A
cockroach doesn't know anything about genes. Rather, the mechanisms that make it
do what it does are different from its own mental states, if it has any--why it
does them.
This is a point nicely made by William James. So, William James is asked, "Why
do we eat?" And he writes,
Not one man in a billion when taking his dinner ever thinks of utility. He eats
because the food tastes good and makes him want more. If you asked him why you
should want to eat more of what tastes like that, instead of revering you as a
philosopher, he will probably laugh at you for a fool.
And it's really the common sense answer. "Why are you eating?" Nobody's going to
answer, "Because I must sustain my body so as to spread my genes in the future."
Rather, you eat because you're hungry.
Those two theories, you eat because you're hungry and you eat to sustain your
body so you could spread your genes in the future, are not alternative. Rather,
they're different levels of explanation. And you can't confuse them. The
ultimate level which does appeal to survival and reproduction does not--is
independent from the psychological level. To give another example, people
protect their children so you ask, "Why do people protect their children? Why
would somebody devote so much effort to protecting and helping and feeding their
children?" Well, the evolutionary explanation is animals that don't protect
their offspring don't last over evolutionary time. We protect our offspring
because they contain fifty percent of our genes, but that's not the
psychological explanation. Nobody but a deranged psychologist would ever answer,
"Oh, I love my children because they contain fifty percent of my genes." Rather,
the psychological explanation is a deeper--is different and has a different
texture. And this will be a lot clearer when we talk about the emotions, where
you could really see a distinction between the question of why we feel something
from an evolutionary point of view and why we feel it from a day-to-day point of
view.
The second misconception is that natural selection entails that everything is
adaptive, that everything we do, everything we think is adaptive. This is wrong.
Natural selection and evolution, more generally, distinguish between adaptations
and byproducts and accidents. Many of you are currently, or will as you get
older, suffer back pain. If I was to ask you, "So, why do you suffer back pain?
How does back pain help you survive and reproduce?" Well, the answer is it's not
an adaptation. Back pain is an accidental byproduct of how our backs are shaped.
Don't go looking for an adaptive reason for hiccups or self-pity or bloating
after you eat. There's all sorts of things a body will do that have no adaptive
value, rather just accidents. We have a body that does all sorts of things. Some
things it will do by accident and this is certainly true for psychology.
So, a lot of the things, for instance, that occupy our interest or our
fascination in day-to-day life are almost certainly evolutionary accidents. The
number--The three--Three of the main preoccupations of humans are pornography,
television, and chocolate but if I asked you, "Why do you like porn?" and you'd
say, "Because my ancestors who liked porn reproduced more than those who didn't,"
[laughter] it's not true. Rather, you like porn, assuming you do, [laughter] as
an accident. You have evolved--For instance, should you be a heterosexual male,
you have evolved to be attracted to women. That is most likely to be an
evolutionary adaptation because being attracted to women and wanting to have sex
with women is one step to the road to having kids, which is very good from an
evolutionary perspective.
It so happens, though, in our modern environment that people have created images
that substitute. So, instead of actually going out and seeking out women you
could just surf the web for hours and hours and watch dirty movies and read
dirty books – evolutionary adaptive dead ends. They're accidents. Why do you
like chocolate bars, assuming that you do? It is not because your ancestors in
the African savanna who enjoyed chocolate bars reproduced more than those who
didn't. Rather, it is because we've evolved a taste for sweet things. And we've
evolved a taste for sweet things, in part, because the sweet things in our
natural environment like fruit were good for us. In the modern world we have
created things like chocolate, which are not so good for us but we eat anyway.
A lot of the debates--There's a lot of controversy in psychology over the scope
of evolutionary explanations. And a lot of the debate tends to be over what's an
adaptation and what isn't. There are some clear cases. We have color vision. Why
do we have color vision? Well, I think everybody would agree we have color
vision as an adaptation because of the advantages it gives us for seeing and
making visual distinctions. We are afraid of snakes. We're going to talk about
that in more detail but there's a straightforward adaptive story about that. We
are afraid of snakes because, really, our ancestors who weren't afraid of snakes
didn't reproduce as much as those that were. We like chocolate bars and we enjoy
NASCAR. Those cannot be adaptations because chocolate bars and NASCAR are recent
developments that could not have been anticipated by evolution.
Those are easy questions. Here are some hard questions. Music. Everywhere in the
world people like music. Is this an adaptation for some selective advantage or
is it an accident? Steven Pinker, who wrote The Language Instinct that you read
before, caused a huge amount of controversy when he argued that music is just an
evolutionary accident. He described it as auditory cheesecake, something we like
to gorge ourselves on that have no--has no adaptive advantage. Other people
argue music does have an adaptive advantage. Sometimes males use violence to
coerce sex. Is male sexual violence a biological adaptation or is it an accident?
There's more than one language. Is that just an accidental byproduct of the way
language works or is there some sort of group or selectionist advantage sketched
out in some way of having multiple languages? What about visual art? What about
fiction? What about our love for stories? Those are all matters of heated debate.
And so, we have to keep in mind some things plainly are accidents. Some things
almost certainly aren't accidents. Where the action is in the study of
psychology and the study of evolution of cognition is trying to figure out which
is which. So, those are the misconceptions we have to avoid. But still, who
cares? Again this is an Introduction to Psych course. Why are we talking about
evolution? Why should it matter to a psychologist how the mind has evolved? I'm
going to talk about evolution now but for the rest of the course I'm just
interested in how our minds are, period. S,o why would evolution matter?
Well, many people think it doesn't. For instance – and they think it doesn't for
different reasons – one claim is a metaphysical one. You might be a dualist. You
might reject the idea your mental life is the product of your brain and hence
evolution is irrelevant to psychology because the brain and the mind--because
the brain, which may have evolved, has nothing interesting to do with the mind.
Lisa Simpson got it wrong when she said the Pope--She got it half right when she
said the Pope favored evolution. It is true. John Paul II, many years ago, made
a statement saying that Darwinian theory is not incompatible. Darwinian theory
is a view about the evolution of species that is not motivated by any animus, is
a genuine scientific theory, and should it turn out to be true, it is not
incompatible to truth about man as taught by the Church. And scientists were
thrilled by this and they were--they said he's endorsing evolution. But what a
fewer people talk about is the fact that after he said this he drew the line. He
allowed for evolution of the body but he would not allow for evolution of the
mind. So it was--he wrote:
If the human body takes its origin from preexisting living matter, the spiritual
soul is immediately created by God. Consequently, theories of evolution which
consider the mind as emerging from the forces of living matter or as a mere
epiphenomenon of this matter are incompatible to the truth about man.
So, you might not want evolution to be true about the mind because you might
believe that the mind is not subject to the same physical laws as the rest of
the physical world. That's one way you could reject evolutionary psychology.
Another way to reject evolutionary psychology is to accept that the mind is a
physical thing but then argue that all of these instincts and these hard-wired
facets of human nature might exist for other animals but they don't exist for
people. So, the anthropologist Ashley Montagu in '73, close to when The Six
Million Dollar Man was shown, by the way, said:
With the exception of the reactions of infants to sudden withdrawals of support
and to sudden loud noises, the human being is entirely instinctless. Man is man
because he has no instincts, because everything he is and has become he has
learned from his culture, from the man-made part of the environment, from other
human beings.
You might say, "Look. He could believe that in '74 but, of course, all of the
infant studies that have come out since then suggested that's not true and
nobody would believe that nowadays." But in fact, the view is often hold--held--Louis
Menand in a New Yorker article a few years ago wrote, "Every aspect of life has
a biological foundation in exactly the same sense, which is that unless it was
biologically possible it wouldn't exist. After that it's up for grabs." And this
is in the context of an argument that evolution can't tell us anything about
what's most interesting about people. Menand is not--is an educated, intelligent
scholar. He is presumably well aware of the findings of Spelke and Baillargeon
about how people are hard-wired to understand the objects in social life and so
on. But his point is just that when it comes to the more interesting aspects of
human nature, the stuff we're naturally, intuitively interested in, that's more
cultural. And the evolutionary theory and Darwinian theory just doesn't have
anything much to say about it, not because the mind is separate from the brain
but just because humans are much more cultural organisms, and so biology has
little to say about it.
There's a third objection, which is you might think, "Okay, the human mind
actually does contain instincts. There is a human nature but we should just
study it by studying people. How could evolution, the study of evolution, the
consideration of evolution tell us anything interesting?" I actually, in my own
work, think evolution can tell us some interesting things. And I want to try to
make a case for ways in which evolution can inform and enlighten us about the
mind as it is.
First, I want to make a point, which is although this course is Intro Psych and
it is about the mind as it is, still I think by any account the evolution of
consciousness, morality and so on, just is intuitively interesting. It's the
sort of thing that people are just fascinated by and I think it's a question of
interest in and of its own right. But here's how it could tell us about
psychology. For one thing, it can tell us what can be innate and what cannot. So,
some problems, some evolutionary problems, have been around for a long time and
could lead to special biological adaptations. If I told you there is a
biological adaptation for talking, mate selection, childcare; maybe it's true,
maybe it isn't, but it's not crazy. From an evolutionary point of view, it's a
reasonable possibility that it is.
Other problems are recent and our brains could not be specialized to deal with
them: written communication, interacting with strangers, driving a car, playing
chess. If you were to argue that there's a part of the brain devoted to playing
chess, I would say you're utterly wrong. You cannot be right because, from an
evolutionary point of view, there could be no such part of the brain evolved
because playing chess is a recent innovation. As a result, a focus on evolution
could help discipline us to make coherent claims about what is built-in and what
isn't built-in.
Third, we're going to talk about human differences in this course. We're going
to devote a class to human differences of the sort of what makes you different
from her, different from her. Why do we have different intelligences in this
class? Why are some of us arrogant and some of us humble? Some of us like--attracted
to men, others attracted to women, and so on. But there's also questions of
group differences. And evolutionary theory can help us say intelligent things
about what sort of group differences you should expect because evolutionary
theory predicts that some populations should evolve in different ways than
others.
The most obvious example is that children should be different from adults. The
evolutionary problems faced by a child are very different from the evolutionary
problems faced by an adult. And you can make specific and rather interesting
predictions about how children's brains should different--differ from adults'
brains. Evolutionary theory predicts--does not make any predictions about racial
differences or ethnic differences. Some might exist, but there's no adaptive
reason why humans who have evolved in different parts of the world should have
profound differences in their mental capacities.
What does evolutionary theory say about sex differences? Well, it says some
interesting things, and we're going to devote a class to discussing them, but
what I think is going to be true--proved to be important is that we'll be able
to use evolutionary biology to talk sensibly about what sort of distinctions
between the sexes, between males and females, one would expect to find and what
sort one wouldn't expect to find. We can make educated predictions. I'm going to
have--I want to put here a clip of a man. This is a scene from a movie, the
movie "Roger Dodger," that begins with a man making quasi-evolutionary claims
about the differences between men and women. And I want to put this as an
example of what you could call "barroom evolutionary psychology." And I want us
to hold this in our minds because we're going to return to these claims and
discuss their validity. [clip playing]
I like this for a few reasons. First, I like the backward reference to William
James and utility. Second, it is a gorgeous combination of some things that are
actually reasonably rational and total bull crap. And--but what evolutionary
biology will give us is the tools to distinguish between the two. On the face of
it immediately, the ability to read maps, the claim that that has a biological--that
differences in that ability have a biological root is crazy. On the other hand,
the claim that one--that males may develop a trait not because it's advantageous
but to attract females is less crazy. The telepathic stuff is really crazy
but--;So, I'm not at this point--We're going to devote a lecture to sex. I do
not, at this point, want to make any claims one way or another. But what I want
to suggest is that from a biological point of view we could say sensible and
intelligent things about what differences should exist and what shouldn't.
Finally, and most of all, looking at something from the perspective of design,
the perspective of what's it for, can often give you interesting insights as to
its current nature. And I'll give you two quick examples, one that's not from
psychology, one that is. Women suffer--Often women who are pregnant early in
their pregnancy suffer from morning sickness, nausea, throwing up and so on.
This has traditionally been viewed as just a breakdown in the system--too much
hormones, everything's askew; women get nauseous. Margie Profet suggested an
alternative and this won her the MacArthur Genius Award. And this was the claim
that maybe pregnancy sickness is not an accident; rather, it's designed, it has
a biological purpose. In particular, as the baby develops in the uterus, it is
vulnerable to various sorts of poisons or teratogens. Profet suggested that
pregnancy sickness is a hypersensitive period where women are extremely
sensitive, get extremely nauseous towards the sorts of foods that could damage
their baby.
Now, if she just ended there it's a story. How do we know it's true? But then
she went on to examine it the same way that any scientist examines any claim –
by making predictions and testing them. And this makes some interesting
predictions. It suggests the timing of onset and offset of pregnancy sickness,
of morning sickness, should correspond to the period of maximal vulnerability on
the part of the developing embryo or fetus. Suggested the types of foods avoided
should correspond to those sorts of foods that were most deadly for the fetus
and that were deadly for the fetus during the periods where humans evolved. This
last qualification is an important one. Women do not develop an aversion to
alcohol during pregnancy even though alcohol is extremely dangerous to the
developing child. The answer is an easy one. Alcohol wasn't around during our
evolutionary history and we could not have evolved a system to protect ourselves
from it.
And finally, there should be a relationship between miscarriage and birth
defects in a surprising direction. For Profet, and she has evidence to back this
up, pregnancy sickness is not a glitch in the system. Rather, it's the sign of a
healthy act of protective mechanism going on. And in fact, the more morning
sickness the more the baby should be protected. Something which, by and large,
appears to be true. That's an example of how the question--when dealing with
this they say, "Hey. Women throw up when they get pregnant" and then say, "Look.
Maybe that's not just a glitch. What's it for?" You could then learn some
interesting things.
Here's a different example based on the last lecture, this wonderful lecture by
Peter Salovey on sex and love where he talked about the "big three." These are
the "big three" to remind you of what attracts us to somebody else. You are very
attracted to the person next to you or a person that--because of proximity,
similarity, familiarity. And there is abundant evidence supporting the truth of
this. It's almost always true but the evolutionary psychologist looks at this
and says there's something seriously wrong here. There are some cases where that
has to be totally, absolutely mistaken. To realize what this is, think for a
moment. What humans are you most close to, most similar to and most familiar
with? What humans did you spend over ten years of your life with who are
genetically and environmentally as close to you as if they were related, who you
are intimately familiar with? Are those the humans that you find the hottest? [laughter]
No. They're your siblings and they are not hot. [laughter]
I was on Google Images this morning. I put up some hot siblings and--but--although
we may find them hot, they do not typically, with some rare and bizarre
exceptions, find [laughter] one another hot. Why not? Well, this is not a huge
puzzle from the standpoint of evolutionary biology. Evolutionary biology posits
that humans, as well as other animals, should have incest avoidance. We should
love--we should be attracted to those familiar to us, similar to us, close to
us, but not kin. Kin are off limits. There is a good reason why. Because if you
inter-mate with your kin you have bad offspring [laughter] and so animals should
be wired up not to mate with their kin. And in fact, this is what happens.
There are--Parents of teenagers have all sorts of concerns. And a lot of the
concerns are, in fact, sexual. How do you keep your son and/or your daughter
from going out and having sex with too many people, or the wrong people, or
unprotected sex? But there are no parenting guides in the world that say "How do
you keep your children from having sex with one another?" [laughter] You
typically do not need to because they do not want to have sex with one another.
Now, this is--actually also illustrates the difference between proximate and
ultimate causation. So, you think for yourself, "Eew. Do I want to have sex with
my sister?" You don't think to yourself, "I would prefer not to, for the
offspring that we will create will be nonviable and it'll be a waste of my
reproductive efforts." Rather, you think, "Eew," because at a gut level you
respond. And this sort of instinctive response is what you get from an
evolutionary analysis of sex.
But this story is deeply incomplete because the question that gets raised is "how
do you tell?" You don't want to have sex with your kin but how do you tell your
kin? People don't carry their DNA markers on strips that you could see. How do
you tell who your kin are? And this actually turns out to be a really
interesting question. It used--And some research suggests that the answer is
simple. You avoid sex with people you grew up with. And these studies actually
come from kibbutz studies, studies where people are raised communally on an
Israeli kibbutz. They know they're not related, but still, the fact that they
were raised together as kids suggests that there's a cue at a gut level not to
be attracted to one another.
It turns out there's some reason now to believe this story is incomplete. A
paper that came out in Nature five days ago reported a series of extremely
interesting studies. And they found that the cue of being raised together as a
child with somebody--yes, that does diminish sexual desire, but an even bigger
cue was "did you observe your parents, and in particular, your mother, taking
care of that person?" If you did, that seriously diminishes sexual desire and
brings it down to the level of disgust. And again, these are the sort of
questions and issues you begin to ask when you approach things from an
evolutionary perspective.
Okay. For this lecture--the rest of this lecture and then the next couple of
lectures, I'll be discussing some basic aspects of human nature that are, to
some extent or another, informed by evolutionary theory. And what I want to
start for the remainder of this lecture is a discussion of rationality. Now,
some of you maybe not want to go into--not want to go into psychology because
there's no Nobel Prize for psychology. You might all think, "Hey, if I'm going
to go into the sciences I want a Nobel Prize. Think how proud Bubby and Zadie
would be if I won a Nobel Prize. Wouldn't that be the best?" You can get one.
Psychologists have won the Nobel Prize. Most recently, Danny Kahneman won a
Nobel Prize. You win it in economics, sometimes medicine; not a big deal. He won
it for his work done over the course of many decades on human rationality. And
this work was done in collaboration with Amos Tversky, who passed away several
years ago. And this work entirely transformed the way we think about human
decision-making and rationality.
Kahneman and Tversky caused a revolution in economics, psychology, and the
social sciences more generally, by causing us to shift from the idea that we're
logical thinkers, who think in accord with the axioms of logic and mathematics
and rationality, more towards the idea that we actually have sort of rough and
ready heuristics. These heuristics served us well during the time--during our
evolutionary history, but sometimes they can lead us astray. And I want to give
some examples of these heuristics. And I'll give four examples of heuristics
that are argued to permeate our reasoning.
The first is "framing effects." This was a classic study by Kahneman and Tversky
involving this sort of question. The U.S. is preparing for the outbreak of a
disease that's going to kill six hundred people. There are two programs. Program
A: If you follow it two hundred people will be saved. Program B: There's a one-third
chance everybody will be saved and a two-third chance nobody will be saved. Who
would choose program B? Who would choose program A? Okay. And that fits the
responses. Most people choose program A. That's--It could go either way. What's
interesting is if you frame the question differently, like this, you get very
different responses. And instead of focusing on the people who will be saved,
you focus on the people who will die and, instead of focusing on the chance that
nobody will die and the chance that everybody will die, you'd flip it around,
you get a corresponding flip. And this is known as a "framing effect."
The idea of a framing effect is that you could respond differently to a
situation depending on how the options are framed. And, in particular, this
combines with "loss aversion." People hate a certain loss. "Four thousand of
these people will die" is extremely aversive and so the framing can influence
your decisions. And clever advertisers and clever decision makers will frame
things in different ways to give you--give rise to different intuitions.
Sometimes this could be fairly simple. So, you have this ad of a hamburger
that's eighty percent fat free versus twenty percent fat--You don't have to be a
brilliant ad executive to figure out which one to go for.
It turns out that this sort of fundamental act – the fundamental role of framing
effects – is not limited to humans. So, I want to take a second and tell you
some work done by my colleague, Laurie Santos, with capuchin monkeys. And what
she does is she takes these capuchin monkeys and she teaches them to use money.
She teaches them to use little discs to buy themselves either pieces of banana
or pieces of apple. And they like to eat this. And they very quickly learn you
can hand over a disc to get some banana or some apple. [laughter] Now, Dr.
Santos and her colleagues have done many studies using this method, but the
study I'm interested in illustrating here shows framing effects in these
nonhuman primates.
So, what she does is--There's two options. In one option, the experimenter shows
one object to the capuchin and low--and then either gives one or two--half the
time gives one, half the time gives two, for an average of one and a half. The
other experimenter does exactly the same thing; gives one or two for an average
of one and a half, but starts off displaying two. Now, if you weren't a human,
how would you feel about these two experimenters? They both give you the same
amount. And capuchins are extremely sensitive to how much they get, but it turns
out as predicted they don't like the pink experimenter because the pink
experimenter is--he gives you two--shows you two and half the time he gives you
one. This guy shows you one, and half the time gives you two. And over time they
develop a preference for the experimenter that shows them one initially,
suggesting that they are being subject to framing effects or choices relative to
a reference point.
A different sort of demonstration is the "endowment effect." This is a robust
and very interesting effect. Here's the idea. I show you something like a cup or
a chocolate bar and I say, "How much will you give me for this chocolate bar? It
looks like you're pretty hungry. How much will you give me for this chocolate
bar?" And you say, "I'll give you two dollars for this chocolate bar." Most
people on average give two--the chocolate bar--gives two dollars for a chocolate
bar. The other condition's exactly the same except I hand you a chocolate bar
and say, "How much money will you sell me that chocolate bar for?" There, people
say, "Two fifty," and in fact, what happens is once you own something its value
shoots up. And this has mystified economists and psychologists. It makes no
sense. The chocolate bar doesn't even have to move. I just leave it on the table
and say either "How much will you spend," "How much will you give me for this?"
or "Okay. It's yours. How much do you want for me to take it back?" The answer
is, it's framing. If you're asking how much you want for it, it's a game. It's
just how much will you pay to get something. But if you're being asked how much
do you want for me to take it from you, you treat it as a loss. And as a loss it
becomes more valuable. Those are framing effects.
The second example is base rates. There are seventy lawyers--sorry, seventy
engineers and thirty lawyers and John is chosen at random. Let me tell you about
John: forty-years old, married, three children, conservative, cautious, no
interest in politics, awkward around people. His hobbies include carpentry,
sailing, and solving mathematical puzzles, like online dating. [laughter] What
do you think John is? A lawyer or an engineer? Who thinks he's a lawyer? Good.
Who thinks he's an engineer? Okay. Most people think he's an engineer, but
here's the thing. You switch it. Right? Thirty engineers, seventy lawyers? It
doesn't change. People--No matter what this number is--these numbers--it doesn't
seem to change who you think he is or how confident you are.
People look at John as an individual and they ignore the background status of
where he came from. They ignore base rates. Base rates are very difficult to
think about and I want to give you an example of this. And the example will be
on the slides for when you print them out--print it out because you might want
to work through it yourself. But I'll give this to you quickly.
There's a disease that hits one in a thousand people, a pretty common disease.
There's a test for the disease and if you have it, it's going to tell you you
have it. It tests for a certain thing in your blood and "boom," if the thing is
in your blood the test will go "boom." If you have it, it will tell you you have
it. It doesn't miss. On the other hand, it's not perfect. It has a false
positive rate of five percent. So, if you don't have the disease, five percent
of the time the test will say you have it. So, if the test says you don't have
it, you're fine. But if the test says you have it, maybe you have it but maybe
it's a false positive. You take the test. It says you have the disease. Without
pen and paper, how likely do you think the odds are you have the disease? Who
says over fifty percent? Okay. Before people sinisterly shouted the right answer,
people will tend--medical students were given this, medical students less savvy
than you, and the average is between fifty percent and ninety-five percent.
The answer is, as some people quickly noted, two percent. And here's how it
works. One percent of a thousand will have the disease. That person will test
positive. The test never misses. That leaves nine hundred ninety-nine people who
don't have the disease, and we'll say about fifty percent of these people have
it. So, for every fifty-one people who test positive, only one will have the
disease, giving an average of about two percent. This sort of thing is very
difficult. Our minds are not evolved to do base rate computation. And so, any
problems involving base rate computation, including real world problems, like
what to do when you come back with a positive test, we screw up. And often we
screw up in the direction of panic.
The third bias is the "availability bias." And this is simply that if you want
to know how frequent something is, how available it is to come to mind is an
excellent cue. But this could lead to mistakes. A classic example by Kahneman
and Tversky is you ask people--one group of people how many English words end
with "ng" or what proportion of English words, another group of people what
proportion end with "ing." It turns out you get much bigger numbers for "ing"
than "ng" though, of course "ng" has to--"ing"--sorry, "ng" would include
everything with "ing." It's just a lot easier to think about these things.
This can show up in the real world. What are your risk of getting killed--What's
your risk of getting killed by a shark? Well, if you ask people what their risk
of getting killed by a shark is, they characteristically overestimate it. I will
give you the news of what the risk is for getting killed by a shark. Injured in
any given year: one in six million. Killed: one in five hundred million. If you
live in Florida, which apparently is Shark Central, your chance of getting
injured is about one in a half million. People will overestimate the risks
because shark attacks are very salient. They are always reported in the news and
they're very interesting. What is the chance of getting killed by potato salad?
[laughter] Well, food poisoning, death by food poisoning, injury by food
poisoning runs to about one in fifty-five, one in 800 for some sort of injury
and one in 55,000 killed. Potato salad is 1,000 more times more dangerous than
shark attacks. But you get it wrong because you don't think, "Oh, my God, big
news story. Somebody dies by potato salad." [laughter] And so, we tend to
overestimate the chance of being killed by dramatic effects.
How many Jews in the United States, what proportion? Who thinks it's over three
quarters of the United States is Jewish? [laughter] I'm kind of anchoring here.
Okay. Okay. Who thinks over half? Who thinks over forty percent? Who thinks over
twenty percent? Okay. Who thinks over fifteen percent? Who thinks over ten
percent? Who thinks over seven and one-half percent? Who thinks over five
percent? Okay. Who thinks overall there's more than five percent of the United
States that's Jewish? Who thinks over three percent? The answer is somewhere
between 1.9 and 2.1%. Most people think--The average American thinks it's twenty
percent. There is-- [laughter] If you're curious about demographics, and this
map isn't to be entirely trusted because I got it from Wikipedia, [laughter]
this is the distribution of the Jewish population, self-identified as Jewish in
different parts of the United States. [laughter] New York City is, of course,
the most dense population with nine percent. New Haven has 3.5%.
Now, why do people get it wrong? Well, there's all sorts of reasons and this is
going to come out in the context of social psychology when we talk about how
people think about human groups. But one quick answer is people who are plainly
Jewish are prominent in positions where people notice them, like entertainment
or, in the case of you guys, academia. And this could lead to--this availability--
"Can I think of a Jew? Yeah." [laughter] This availability causes us to
overestimate the proportion to which Jews are represented in the population.
Final example. Confirmation bias. This is a very nice study and it's very simple.
It's--You're in a jury of a custody case. You have to give a child custody –
either a mother or father sole custody. One parent has average income, average
health, average working hours, reasonable rapport with the child, and a
relatively stable social life. The second parent has an above-average income,
minor health problems, lots of work-related travel, a very close relationship
with the travel--with the child, and an extremely active social life. Think for
a moment. Who would you award custody with? There's no--Obviously, there's no
right answer here.
Just think for a moment. Who would award custody to parent A? Who would award
custody to parent B? Okay. As I think there is in this room, when this study is
done there's a slight advantage to parent B. Here's what's interesting. You give
another group of people this question. "Which parent would you deny custody to?"
You get a slight advantage for parent B. Now, this is to some extent an
illustration of framing problem but it's also a more general illustration of the
confirmation bias. So, when you're asked to award custody to, you then ask, "Well,
what is a good--what is a sign that somebody's a good parent?" And the good
parent aspects of B jump out. When asking about denying custody you ask, "Where
is a cue that somebody's a bad parent?" And the bad parent aspects of B jump out.
In general, when we have a hypothesis we look for confirmations.
This makes some things, which are logically easy extremely difficult problems
when we face them in the real world. And I'll end with my final example, that of
the Wason selection task. Here's the game. And people--I don't want people to
shout it out just yet. There is four cards [pointing to a slide depicting four
cards: D, G, 3, 8]. Each card has a letter on one side and a number on the other
side. You have to judge whether this claim is true or false. "If a card has a
'D' on one side, it has a '3' on the other side." How many cards do you have to
turn over to test whether that rule is right? Okay. Somebody shout out what one
card is you have to turn over. "D." Everybody gets that right. What else? Do you
need to do any other cards? How many people think it's "D" and "3"? I'm raising
my hand to fool you. [laughter] People answer either "D" or "D" and "3" but
think about it. What would make this rule wrong? It's wrong if it has "D" on one
side and not "3" on the other. Right? That's what it would be to be wrong. You
then would have to check "D" to see if there is a "3" on the other side. You
were all right about that. That means you'd check "8" to see if there's a "D" on
the other side. "Three's" not going to tell you anything. That's hard. People
find this very hard.
Okay. Big deal. But what's interesting is you can modify it in certain ways to
make it a lot easier. And this is the work of Leda Cosmides and her colleague,
an evolutionary psychologist at Santa Barbara who has argued that if you frame
these questions in ways that make ecological sense, people are much better at
them. And basically, she does studies where she has people who are evaluating a
social rule. Imagine these cards. On one side of the card is an alcohol--is a
drink. On the other side is a person's age. You are a bartender and you want to
make sure nobody under twenty-one drinks beer. Which cards do you turn over?
Well, now it's easier but the logic is the same. It's a violation that there's "under
twenty-one" on one side, "beer" on the other side, so you need to check the "under
twenty-one" here and you need to check the "beer" here. And when you make these
logical problems more ecologically valid they turn out to be much easier.
Okay. There's a little bit more but I'll hold it off until next class. And I'll
end with the reading response, which is to do your own bit of reverse
engineering and evolutionary psychology. And I'll see you all on Wednesday.
jsl57. (2007, August 01). Transcript 10 - Evolution, Emotion, and Reason: Evolution and Rationality. Retrieved September 11, 2008, from Open Yale Courses Web site: http://oyc.yale.edu/psychology/introduction-to-psychology/content/transcripts/transcript10.html.